Is there any point in trying to predict future trends?

YES: Predicting future trends facilitates a better understanding of both our present societal circumstances and the possibilities arising from them, thereby improving our capacities to do well both individually and collectively as a society. 

  1. A variety of economic activities and practices create wealth for individuals and societies through the accurate prediction of future trends.

  2. Politicians and governments may need to predict future trends accurately to ensure the viability and sustainability of their policies which form the basis for political legitimacy.

  3. Collectively, humanity today has a moral responsibility to future generations in predicting the possibilities and also threats that future trends may pose, thereby ensuring that the needs of the future generations are properly identified and addressed in advance.

NO: Predicting future trends is often an inconsistent practice based upon a poor understanding of both our present societal circumstances and the possibilities arising from them, thereby undermining our capacities to do well both individually and collectively as a society.

  1. When individuals and societies attempt to predict future trends and use their predictions as the basis for creating wealth, they often fail due to a diverse range of human errors, thereby and causing widespread economic catastrophe and misery for all.

  2. The complexity underlying political relationships and interactions today make it unlikely that politicians and governments can accurately predict future trends relating to the issue, making policies arising from such predictions flawed and dangerous to public well-being.

  3. Many threats and their solutions to the future of humanity are already manifest and clearly obvious today, making it imperative that we focus on resolving these present issues rather than expending our energies and resources on the prediction of future trends.